Incorporating compound flood events in the weather service value chain

发布日期:2025-07-14 阅读:1317

报告人:苏健 研究员(丹麦气象研究所,Danish Meteorological Institute)

邀请人:周锋 研究员 田娣 副研究员

时    间:7月11日(周五)10:00-11:30

地    点:1号楼610会议室

卫星海洋环境监测预警全国重点实验室为增进学术交流,促进实验室对外开放,组织系列“海星系列学术讲座”,邀请国内外知名专家与青年科研人员分享前沿科学动态,讨论最新学术成果,欢迎大家踊跃参加。

召集人:周锋 研究员 田娣 副研究员

会议时间:7月11日(周五)10:00-11:30

会议地点:1号楼610会议室

报告人:苏健 研究员(丹麦气象研究所,Danish Meteorological Institute)

报告题目:海洋-大气环流的经向漂移:证据与机制

报告人简介:苏健,丹麦气象局研究员,博士毕业于中国海洋大学。主要从事国家气候服务项目,是国家气候服务项目 KicgaaHles.的海洋方面项目的负责人,在区域海洋动力学模型,区域气候耦合模型,海洋生态系统模型和综合观测,卫星和模型数据分析方面拥有丰富的经验。科研早期的研究主要集中于河口和大陆架海域的中尺度海洋过程,海洋环流以及海洋与大气的相互作用。近 10年转向区域气候模型和气候灾害风险评估。

报告摘要:Research into compound events is increasing, yet operational implementation remains in its early stages for most meteorological services. Forecasting and warning for compound events require advanced modelling, high-quality data, and local meteorological-geographical knowledge. This study analyses ten years of meteorological warnings from the Danish Meteorological Institute (DMIl), focusing on five case studies exemplifying the complexities of compound flood events. We assess event-type categories and their physical and social impacts, highlighting challenges in integrating compound events into national warning systems. A key issue is framing warnings within a defined 'event' scale due to real-time hazard overlaps. Our findings stress the need for multi-warning approaches based on forecasted time overlaps to enhance risk communication. Implementing an "informational text advisory" could improve response strategies. These insights not only refine Denmark's warning services but also provide a framework adaptable to other countries facing compound climate hazards.


  • 卫星海洋环境监测预警全国重点实验室

    © 2021卫星海洋环境监测预警全国重点实验室 版权所有.
    浙ICP备10040255号-4    技术支持: 寸草心科技      

  • 地址:杭州市保俶北路36号
    邮编:310012
  • 总机号码:+86-571-8196 3198
    传真:+86-571-8883 9374